Theyโve never beaten the Wallabies and sit well outside the top ten on the World Rugby rankings, but Matt Toโomua believes Georgia will represent a harder proposition than Wales for Joe Schmidtโs young side.
โI think Georgia will be harder than Wales,โ Toโomua said on The Roar Rugby podcast.
After coming off consecutive wins against Wales, the experienced New Zealand coach flagged making more changes to his side for Saturdayโs afternoon fixture against Georgia โ the nation Eddie Jonesโ Wallabies beat 35-15 to start their dreaded World Cup pool last year.
โThere probably will be a couple of changes,โ Schmidt said following the eight-point win against Wales in Melbourne last weekend.
โWe made five changes this week and there could be that many again.
โYouโre trying to build cohesion.
โItโs a little bit of a different or difficult equilibrium that youโre trying to find between that continuation of confidence and continuity and then offering opportunity.โ
Toโomua said hearing Schmidt indicate some changes were on the way made him โnervousโ.
Itโs easy to understand why too, with the Wallabies struggling to put away sides in the past that historically suggest should be easier.
In 2011, Samoa rocked Robbie Deansโ Wallabies on the eve of the Tri Nations by shocking them 32-23 in Sydney.
Scotland beat the Wallabies in the wet 9-6 in Newcastle a year later.
A decade later, Dave Rennieโs three-year tenure with the Wallabies was on life support after losing to Italy in Florence 28-27.
Had Ben Donaldson not missed a late conversion attempt, Rennie would surely have taken the Wallabies to the 2023 World Cup.
In all three shock defeats, the Wallabies tested their depth and made mass changes.
But Toโomua, who played a strong part in the Wallabiesโ 2015 and 2019 World Cups, cautioned against making wholesale changes despite the temptation of using his squad ahead of a difficult Rugby Championship next month.
โI definitely get nervous about rotating a squad that doesnโt have a whole lot of experience,โ he said.
โI know it sounds weird, but Sydney hasnโt always been our happiest hunting ground.
โRotating there is interesting. Youโve got to build depth, youโve got to build a squad, but primarily you might have to build a 15. It will be interesting.
โI know coaches in the past have said when weโve lost, in particular, I think in Argentina, over there where coaches were surprised and thought โI could rotate the squad, I thought we had the depth to win that.โ But we got our pants pulled down.
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โItโs surprised coaches in the past, in particular, Kiwi coaches who are used to being able to pick three guys in the one position.
โAustralian rugby isnโt that way. If you look at a guy like [Wallabies assistant coach] Laurie Fisher, how he has typically selected, itโs the best team always for the next game. He never really looks at that.
โWhilst there might be some limiting factors in that, I think thatโs actually probably a really good understanding of Australian rugby and our mentality. We like backs up against the wall. We like to fight. Being able to bank a win and blood some new guys maybe isnโt really in our psyche. It could be interesting.โ
Of the 23 that took the field in Paris to beat Georgia to kick start their World Cup campaign last year, nine members remain in Schmidtโs squad.
Donaldson, who started at fullback and finished his afternoon with 25 points, said on Monday the Wallabies could take some confidence from the victory.
But Toโomua was adamant it was a โbanana skinโ clash for the Wallabies.
โIf we start swapping guys around, thatโs a potential hurdle,โ he said. โ
โTwo, third game in a row, third Test is always a little bit more difficult.
โAnd an eye on us thinking, oh, โitโs Georgia, weโre in Sydney, itโs comfortable. Weโre thinking about the Boksโ in three weeks.โ
โI just think when anyone would have looked at it, we would have gone, oh, weโve got two games against Wales, a throwaway one against Georgia, and then we got the TRC. I just think itโs a potential banana skin, thatโs for sure.
โBut, look, the best thing about this Wallabies team, the biggest asset we have is our coaching staff: [Mike] Crony, Laurie, and Joe Schmidt, these are guys who have been there, done that, and there will definitely be no sense of complacency in the squad.โ
Should the Wallabies make changes, Toโomua cautioned about tweaking the pack, especially given they will take on the back-to-back world champions in Brisbane early next month.
โI wouldnโt tweak for giving guys a rest,โ Toโomua said.
โNone of them played in the final for Super Rugby and thereโs three weeks between games. They donโt need a rest.
โI think we need to obviously keep an eye on South Africa. Whatโs our best squad? If itโs Lenny Ikitau playing that game, then he needs game time, he needs a Test much under his belt.
โIf itโs Allan [Alaalatoa] starting against South Africa and โNellaโ [Taniela Tupou] taking care of the bomb squad in the last 30, then, letโs do that now.
โFor me, rather than resting policy, I think it would be more tactical around getting minutes into guys legs. I donโt think anyone requires a freshen-up.
โI think guys very much need more time, particularly in the pack. I would be wanting guys like [Jeremy] Williams and that to have three Test matches in a row, getting beaten up and realising what a Test match is because I donโt know if Iโve seen a more physical pack than the South African pack at the moment.
โItโll be a rude shock if they have a week off and freshen their legs and then youโre up against Eben Etzebeth.โ