In a shocking turn of political events, renowned historian and political analyst Allan Lichtman warns that Elon Musk’s proposed America Party could severely undermine Donald Trump’s influence in the upcoming 2026 midterms. Musk, the billionaire entrepreneur and owner of X (formerly Twitter), claims that over 80% of Americans desire a third party, but experts like Lichtman are skeptical about the viability of such a movement in a historically two-party-dominated system.

Lichtman, who has accurately predicted the last ten presidential elections, points out that while Americans express a desire for alternatives, third parties have consistently acted as spoilers rather than viable contenders. Drawing parallels to past elections, he cites examples like Theodore Roosevelt in 1912 and Ross Perot in 1992, who siphoned critical votes from Republicans, ultimately aiding Democratic victories. “A Musk-led party could drain just a few percentage points from Republican candidates, potentially flipping key House and Senate seats to Democrats,” he cautions.

Musk’s motivations appear deeply personal, stemming from frustrations with Trump’s policies that conflict with his business interests. As he threatens to back primary challengers against Republicans who voted for legislation unfavorable to him, the stakes rise. “In this high-stakes game, Musk mirrors Trump—self-interest reigns supreme,” Lichtman asserts.

While Musk cannot run for president himself due to his South African 𝐛𝐢𝐫𝐭𝐡, he could still influence the political landscape by supporting a third-party candidate. With Trump’s future uncertain, the potential for Musk to disrupt the Republican base looms large. The clock is ticking as political dynamics shift, and the 2026 midterms promise to be anything but predictable. As Lichtman aptly notes, “In politics, three years is an eternity.” The implications of Musk’s America Party could reshape the electoral battleground in ways we are only beginning to comprehend.